Monday 12 December 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 13 December 2016 | TAKE OFF

Oil prices jump on new output deal:
Oil prices have surged after oil producing countries that are not Opec members agreed to cut output. Brent crude jumped to $57.89 a barrel - the highest since July 2015 - before falling back to $56.55, although that was still a gain of 4.1% on the day. On Saturday, non-Opec countries agreed to cut their output by 558,000 barrels a day in a deal designed to reduce oversupply and boost prices. Opec announced last month that it would be cutting its own production.
Currency volatility in the open market:
The recent volatility in the open currency market had its roots not in the shortage of non-dollar foreign currencies but in the behaviour of foreign exchange companies, inquiries reveal. Though, at the peak of the crisis, the rupee that had fallen to near Rs110 per dollar for customer buying in the open market, it has now bounced back (rising to Rs107.20 on Dec 8) although the gap between interbank and open market currency has yet to be narrowed. On Dec 8, the gap was in excess of 2pc, against the ideal 0.5-1.0pc, as in the interbank market the rupee was trading at Rs104.76 and Rs104.77 for buying and selling.
Collaborative manufacturing in tyre business:
Several medium-sized Pakistani businessmen have invested small sums of money in what they call ‘collaborative manufacturing’ in India, China, Indonesia and elsewhere in East Asia. This is to produce ‘quality’ tyres of different sizes and specifications for the ‘replacement market’ at home. “Starting a new tyre manufacturing business in Pakistan has become very capital intensive over the years. “The costs of making tyres (for cars, buses, tractors, dumpers, OTR (off-the-road) vehicles, industry, etc) locally has gone up sharply because we do not produce raw materials — rubber, chemicals, bead wire, special fabric, etc —, or have a vending industry to support the (end tyre) manufacturers,” argued Awais Piracha, whose family has been involved in the tyre trade for the last three generations, and was among the first few to enter into collaborative manufacturing with manufacturers in China, India and Indonesia.
Culture of amnesty scheme continues in Pakistan's real estate sector
he fledgling realty tax faced stiff resistance from lobbyists who pressed the government hard for an amnesty scheme. The chanting slogan of the amnesty scheme is to whiten the black money with just 3% tax to be imposed on the difference between the DC rate and Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) valuation rate. Icing on the cake is that the FBR won’t ask about the sources of income. According to conservative estimates of the FBR, Rs4 trillion is parked in the realty sector in Pakistan, implying that the tax machinery would lose billions in potential taxable revenue in the years to come. Despite all trappings, the outcome of this amnesty scheme would not be different from the previous ones.
Industrial phase of CPEC to kick off soon:
The industrial phase of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is going to kick off soon under which Chinese investors would be allowed to set up only high tech industries, which would not have any negative impact on Pakistan’s existing industry, said CPEC Acting Project Director Hasan Dawood. Speaking to a delegation of the Faisalabad Chamber of Commerce and Industry (FCCI), he said that CPEC has three major perspectives including geo strategic, regional integration and industrial cooperation, adding that Chinese investors cannot afford any clash at any stage with Pakistani industrialists; hence, they prefer to concentrate on Gwadar Port.
ADB stalls $300m loan tranche over delayed reforms
Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves are likely to come under more strain in the coming months as the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has delayed the approval of a third loan tranche worth $300 million for budget financing after the government put energy sector reforms on the backburner. The loan tranche is critical for the finance ministry as official foreign currency reserves have started depleting. In the last one month, forex reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan have come down to $18.36 billion – a net reduction of $722 million. The loan proceeds would have been used to provide a cushion to the central bank’s foreign currency reserves besides meeting budget financing needs.
Gas price cut unlikely to stem decline in textile exports:
Value-added textile exporters have warned the government that the decline in exports will continue to persist despite a recent reduction in natural gas prices for different industries. “I don’t think textile exports will show any significant improvement in coming months despite a 33% reduction in gas price for export-oriented industries,” commented M Babar Khan, CEO of Multinational Export Bureau, a Karachi-based textile company.
Gas shortage hits SSGC's system:
Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC) on Sunday closed Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) stations across the province as a sudden gas shortage hit the system of the gas utility. According to a SSGC spokesman, the decision to shut CNG stations across the province was taken after a gas shortage hit the SSGC's system. However, the spokesman said that the stations will remain open on Monday. The spokesman did not elaborate as to why the sudden shortage hit the system. Meanwhile, CNG stations in many city areas remained open as the decision to close down the station by the gas utility was not communicated to them timely and properly.

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