Wednesday 30 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 1 December 2016 | TAKE OFF

Opec agrees first output cut since ’08:
The OPEC oil cartel defied expectations Wednesday and nailed down its first joint output cut since 2008 after tough talks in Vienna, sending oil prices soaring.At 1622 GMT Brent North Sea crude for January delivery was up $3.77 at $50.15, the first time it has risen above $50 in a month. West Texas Intermediate was up $3.98 at $49.21.The accord announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is aimed at reducing a global supply glut that has kept prices painfully low.It represents a dramatic reversal from OPEC’s Saudi-led strategy, introduced in 2014, of flooding the market to pressure rivals, in particular US shale oil producers.The cartel will lower its monthly output by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) to 32.5 million bpd from January 1, Qatar’s energy minister and president of the OPEC conference said.“This is a major step forward and we think this is a historic agreement, which will definitely help rebalance the market and reduce the stock overhang,” Mohammed Bin Saleh Al-Sada told a news conference in Vienna.
Petrol price increased by Rs2 per litre:
The Ministry of Finance approved on Wednesday an increase in prices of petroleum products for the month of December.According to Radio Pakistan, price of petrol will go up by Rs2 whereas high speed diesel price has increased by Rs2.70.Petrol and diesel will now be sold at Rs66.27 and Rs80.64 per litre, respectively. However, prices of light diesel and kerosene oil remain unchanged.Officials at the petroleum and natural resources ministry had indicated a day earlier that petroleum product prices in the country could be increased by up to 7.5% for December 2016 due to a rise in global crude prices.
Tax collection fell 5.8pc in November:
The revenue collection fell around 5.8 per cent year-on-year in November to Rs212 billion, according to provisional figures available with Dawn.In October, the revenue collection stood at Rs233.7bn, a shortfall of Rs22.3bn against the target of Rs256bn. The shortfall was Rs59bn in the first quarter (July to September) of this fiscal year.One reason behind the successive shortfalls was the unprecedented payment of sales tax refunds to exporters during the last few months, a tax official said.
North-South pipeline: Pakistan, Russia reach LNG price accord:
Pakistan and Russia have agreed on the price for the $2-billion North-South pipeline that will pump imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Karachi to Lahore to satisfy growing energy needs of Punjab. They will sign a commercial contract soon.“The Foreign Office played a key role in finalising the gas price with Russia ahead of Brics summit in October in order to muster Moscow’s support against Indian influence.”
Textile sector eager for package announcement:
Pakistan Readymade Garments Manufacturers and Exporters Association (PRGMEA) Central Chairman Ijaz Khokhar has asked the prime minister to announce the much-awaited textile package, which was agreed between the government and all stakeholders of the textile chains to pull the value-added textile industry out of crisis.“The cash subsidy of 8% to exporters, as was decided at the highest level and agreed by all the export industries of the country, should be given immediately and without any delay along with announcing cut in utility prices as par with the rates of regional competitors.”Denouncing the Pakistan Apparel Forum’s ‘so-called’ Chairman Jawed Bilwani, Khokhar said that Pakistan needs to follow the Indian textile policy, which has already given a lot of cash incentives and rebates along with significant reduction in energy cost for the export sectors.
Thar: SECMC unveils plans for five more coal-fired plants
Sindh Engro Coal Minning Company (SECMC) Chief Executive Officer Shamsudin Ahmed Sheikh has informed that five more coal-fired power plants would be set up in block II of Thar by December 2021 and the total production capacity of coal based electricity of Thar would be expanded to around 3,000 megawatts.He was talking to a group of journalists in Islamabad at the site of the project in Islamkot, Tharparkar, said a statement issued here on Wednesday.He informed that the coal mining project’s total cost was $845 million which would be on the basis of 75:25 debt to equity ratio and would consist of 31.5% foreign and 68.5% local debt.
Nepra notifies cut in electricity price:
The National Electric Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) Wednesday issued notification for reduction in electricity price by 2.60 rupees a unit on account of variations in the fuel charges for the month of October 2016. Variations in the fuel charges for the month of October 2016.The new tariff will be applicable to all the consumer categories except lifeline consumers, domestic consumers consuming up-to 300 units and Agriculture Consumers of all the XWDISCOs.NEPRA further clarified that negative adjustment on account of monthly FCA is also applicable to the domestic consumers having Time of Use (ToU) meters irrespective of their consumption level. It further directed that the adjustment should be shown separately in the consumers’ bills on the basis of units billed to the consumers in the month of October 2016.
Japanese companies join race for Pak LNG tender:
Pakistan says Japan’s biggest trading houses are among almost two dozen companies eyeing its liquefied natural gas purchase tender that it says is the largest on record.Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co. and Marubeni Corp., have expressed interest in the LNG order, which was announced earlier this month and has a deadline of Dec. 20, according to M. Adnan Gilani, chief operating officer at state-owned Pakistan LNG Ltd. The company is seeking bids for 60 cargoes over five years and separately 180 cargoes over 15 years, according to two tenders on its website published earlier this month.“Most of the large traders were interested — the reception was much above expectation,” Gilani said in an interview in Tokyo on Friday. “It is the largest tender that has ever been floated.”

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 30 November 2016 | LANDING

The stock market opened on a pessimistic note as Investors remains cautious about the hearing of panama leaks case. Today stock participants were in selling mode from start till end ahead of evidences submit by opposition parties hearing in Panama case hearing. Moreover continuous foreign selling, PKR depreciation against USD and falling oil price were the main catalyst for bearish trend. At close, the Pakistan Stock Exchange’s benchmark KSE 100-share Index recorded a decrease of 188.90 points or 0.44% at 42,622.37 levels. Relatively Dull activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 394 million shares as compared to 585 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 397 companies were traded; at the end of the day 148 stocks closed higher, 235 declined, while 14 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 8.71 billion decreased by 17%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in Commercial Banks, Chemical and Inv Banks/ Inv Cos. / Sec Cos. sector. In Banking sector BOP   remain in the red throughout the session and depreciated their value by 0.05%, while MCB, FABL surge their value by 1.02%, 1.56%. In Chemical Sector, EPCL, ICI, drop their value by 0.26%, 1.17%, while SITC up by 1.80%. Moreover in Inv Bank/ Inv Cos. / sector, IGIBL, IFSL, PASL appreciated their value by 0.72%, 5.00%, 0.96%.

Active list was topped by BOP with 37 million shares as it closed at PKR 19.51 with a negative change of PKR 0.01.PACE was the second highest on the volume chart with 24 million shares closed at PKR 13.16 with a positive change of PKR 0.38. It was followed by ASL with 22 million shares closed at PKR 14.93 with a positive change of PKR 0.10, EPCL with 19 million shares closed at PKR 15.64 with a negative change of PKR 0.04.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Commercial Banks Sector as it was traded above 63 million shares followed by Chemical sector which recorded the volume of 31 million shares whereas Inv Bank/Inv Cos. /Sec. Cos sparked at 3rd place by trading above 31 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Philip Morris Pak, which rose by PKR 82.44 to PKR 2193.55 per share; followed by  Pak Tobacco, that improved by PKR 43.42 to PKR 1080.92 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which fell by PKR 88.63 to PKR 4243.00 per share; followed by Island Textile, dropped by PKR 61.47 to PKR 1168.15 per share.


Factors for Today:

·        Oil prices fall as Russia says will not attend Opec meeting
·        Sale of 40 percent stake: PSX set to open bids on December 5
·        Ogra proposes up to 9.4pc increase in POL prices for December
·        K-Electric tariff goes up on fuel cost variation
·        PTCL announces Voluntary Separation Scheme




Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Panama Leak Case











Tuesday 29 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 30 November 2016 | TAKE OFF

Oil prices fall as Russia says will not attend Opec meeting:
Oil prices fell over 1 per cent on Tuesday on market jitters over whether producer cartel OPEC would be able to hammer out a meaningful output cut during a meeting on Wednesday, aimed at reining in a global supply overhang and propping up prices.  Non-OPEC oil production giant Russia confirmed on Tuesday that it would not attend the OPEC gathering, but added that a meeting between the group and non-affiliated producers at a later stage was possible.  Brent crude futures were trading at $47.69 per barrel at 0741 GMT, down 55 cents, or 1.14 per cent, from their last close. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 51 cents, or 1.06 per cent, at $46.58 a barrel.
Sale of 40 percent stake: PSX set to open bids on December 5:
Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) is scheduled to open bids on Monday, December 5, 2016 submitted by foreign strategic investors and local institutions to acquire 40 percent stake of the bourse. Initially, 17 bids have been submitted by foreign and local strategic investors and financial institutions. Foreign strategic investors are a consortium of Nasdaq and two UK-based funds and Chinese based consortium of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges with one Chinese fund.Among the local financial institutions, MCB Bank, Allied Bank, Pak-Kuwait Investment Company, Pak-Oman Investment Company and others had submitted their bids to acquire the 40 percent stake. "Yes, the bids submitted by foreign strategic investors and local institutions would be opened on Monday, December 5, 2016," Shehzad Chamdia, Chairman PSX Divestment Committee confirmed this to Business Recorder Tuesday.
Ogra proposes up to 9.4pc increase in POL prices for December:
The prices of all the major petroleum products are set to go up by up to 9.4 per cent across the country while electricity rates would increase by 48 paisas per unit for consumers in Karachi.At a public hearing on Tuesday, the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) determined a 48-paisa per unit increase in the electricity rates under monthly fuel adjustment for consumption in October.Presided over by its chairman Tariq Sadozai, Nepra noted that K-Electric had sold about 1.5 billion units to its consumers against a lower reference tariff while the power utility incurred about Rs720 million additional expenditure on account of fuel cost in October. Therefore, this additional cost required to be passed on to the consumer in the next billing month.
Local auto vendors seek to develop parts for aircraft, tank:
Local auto vendors are willing to start development of parts for tanks and aircraft manufacturing.Pakistan Association of Automotive Parts and Accessories Manufacturers (PAAPAM) Chairman Mashood Ali Khan in a recent meeting with senior officials of Heavy Industries Taxila (HIT) informed them that many of their member companies are matured to work for the aerospace sector and expected to play their role in aircraft manufacturing and maintenance.PAAPAM members also met Chairman Pakistan Aerospace Complex Air Marshal Arshad Malik at an event held to commemorate the launch of Pakistan Aerospace Council (pac) as a platform for networking between Pakistani high-tech sector and its clients in Pakistan as well as the global market place.
K-Electric tariff goes up on fuel cost variation:
Despite sharply lower global crude prices, the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has agreed to an increase of Rs0.48 per unit in K-Electric’s tariff in the face of higher fuel cost for October 2016.The decision comes in sharp contrast to the tariff reduction being enjoyed by consumers of state-owned power distribution companies under the fuel cost adjustment mechanism for the past several months following more than 50% plunge in the international crude oil prices.
CDWP green-lights Gwadar water purification plant:
The federal government on Tuesday cleared, in principle, a project for installing a water purification plant in Gwadar, the nerve city for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), aimed at meeting water requirements of the city’s industrial zone.The Central Development Working Party (CDWP) cleared the scheme to enable the implementation agency to arrange finances for the Reverse Osmosis Sea Water Plant. Initial cost of the project has been estimated at Rs5.1 billion, which may change as it has been worked out without a detailed engineering design.
$135m agreement signed with ADB to improve power transmission:
Pakistan and Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Tuesday signed loan and project agreement worth $125 million for Second Power Transmission Enhancement Investment Programmr (Tranche-1).Tariq Bajwa, Secretary Economic Affairs Division (EAD), and Werner E Liepach, Country Director ADB, signed the loan agreement. The loan is part of $810 million loan facility for Pakistan to help the country improve its dilapidated power transmission infrastructure not capable of lifting additional power generation load. The loan facility will help fund the staged rehabilitation and expansion of the transmission network, increasing transmission capacity and energy efficiency and security. It will also support government efforts to develop a more transparent and efficient power sector by promoting reforms in the National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited, and the sector’s newly established commercial operator, the Central Power Purchasing Agency (Guarantee) Limited. ADB’s facility will be delivered in tranches, implemented from 2016 to 2026.
PTCL announces Voluntary Separation Scheme:
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) on Tuesday announced a Voluntary Separation Scheme (VSS) for its employees, offering more attractive package than previous schemes.PTCL Chief Human Resource Officer Syed Mazhar Hussain told media persons that the scheme has been designed based on feedback of employees and would be beneficial for those who opt for it. Effective from November 28, 2016, the scheme is expected to be availed by around 3,000 employees, he added.He said that previous VSS was appreciated by employees as it offered a very lucrative package. In last scheme of 2014, the organisation could not relieve all employees who opted for this scheme, since business could not let go of such a sizable employee base at once, and risk stalling operations.However, he said with successes reaped from previous schemes and improved company performance, PTCL is now in a better position to offer this scheme to around 9,000 employees and can manage to relieve around 3,000 employees.



SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 29 November 2016 | LANDING

The second day of the week ends with lackluster trading. Market started on  positive note and continued the upward trajectory to touch the intraday Highest level of 43,281 but soon after the media reports related to Panama case steal the show; next hearing on Nov 30. Moreover, the investors remained cautious due to textile industry protest on Dec 6, about low gas price.  At close, the Pakistan Stock Exchange’s benchmark KSE 100-share Index recorded a decrease of 0.85% or 249.44 points at 42,811.27. Relatively Strong activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 585 million shares as compared to 460 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 409 companies were traded; at the end of the day 142 stocks closed higher, 251 declined, while 16 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 10.53 billion increased by 36%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in Commercial Banks, Engineering and Inv Banks/ Inv Cos. / Sec Cos. sector. In Banking sector remained lackluster as State Bank of Pakistan kept its policy rate unchanged at 5.75%.  BOP appreciated their value by 5.23%, while MCB, UBL declined their value by 2.96%, 2.33%. In Engineering Sector, ASL, PECO, INIL surge their value by 6.92%, 2.64%, 2.70%. Moreover in Inv Bank/ Inv Cos. / sector, PASL, IFSL, IGIBL appreciated their value by 2.30%, 4.98%, 4.10%.Moving further, mixed sentiments were witnessed in the cement sector. Top gainers of the aforementioned sector were THCC (up 0.61%) and LUCK (0.80%)E&Ps closed in the red zone as the oil prices retraced losses, on the back of concerns that the upcoming OPEC meeting may not conclude with an agreement on output cuts.

Active list was topped by BOP with 60 million shares as it closed at PKR 19.52 with a positive change of PKR 0.97.ASL was the second highest on the volume chart with 41 million shares closed at PKR 14.83 with a positive change of PKR 0.96. It was followed by SSGC with 29 million shares closed at PKR 39.57 with a negative change of PKR 2.07, PACE with 27 million shares closed at PKR 12.87 with a positive change of PKR 0.42.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Commercial Banks Sector as it was traded above 92 million shares followed by Engineering sector which recorded the volume of 51 million shares whereas Inv Bank/Inv Cos. /Sec. Cos sparked at 3rd place by trading above 49 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Philip Morris Pak, which rose by PKR 92.71 to PKR 2111.11 per share; followed by Siemens Pak, that improved by PKR 44.30 to PKR 1200.00 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which fell by PKR 154.20 to PKR 4331.63 per share; followed by Sanofi-Aventis, dropped by PKR 84.90 to PKR 2054.23 per share.


Factors for Today:

·        Textile industry protest on Dec 6
·        Dollar crosses Rs108 in open market
·        Trans-Asia likely to set up 100,000bpd refinery
·        ADB okays $100m loan for Sindh
·        PTCL offers separation scheme to half of its workforce




Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Panama Leak Case

Monday 28 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 29 November 2016 | TAKE OFF

Textile industry protest on Dec 6:
Textile associations on Monday announced that December 6 will be observed as black day against the gas price disparity that has been affecting the entire industrial chain in Punjab.The announcement came at a joint press conference of office-bearers representing Pakistan Textile Exporters Association (PTEA), Faisalabad Chamber of Commerce and Industry (FCCI), All Pakistan Textile Mills Association (Aptma), All Pakistan Textile Processing Mills Association (APTPMA), Pakistan Hosiery Manufacturers and Exporters Association, All Pakistan Bedsheet and Upholstery Manufacturers Association, All Pakistan Textile Sizing Industries Association, All Pakistan Cotton Power Looms Association (APCPLA) and Council of Loom Owners.The representatives said industries in Sindh are using low priced gas for their needs whereas Punjab-based industries are compelled to use costly Regasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG) for their production process.
Dollar crosses Rs108 in open market:
The dollar crushed the local currency on Monday as its price crossed Rs108 in the open market, shifting up to 70 per cent of the remittances business to the hawala system that offered Rs109 per dollar, currency dealers said.Despite several meetings with currency dealers in the recent past, the central bank has yet to come up with a plan to stop the rupee from sinking further against the greenback.“The dollar touched as high as Rs108.40 in the open market and could go further up since its supply has hit the bottom,” said Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan Secretary General Zafar Paracha.
Trans-Asia likely to set up 100,000bpd refinery:
Trans-Asia Refinery Limited (TRL), a private sector petroleum company, is going to set up a refinery having capacity to develop 100,000 barrels per day (bpd), followed by the Byco that established the country’s largest production unit in Balochistan in June last year.“The Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract is expected to be awarded by December 2016, subject to the Project Financial Close. After award of the EPC contract, the construction will take approximately 30 months,” official sources in the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources told APP. Trans-Asia Refinery Limited (TRL), in collaboration with Dubai, was undertaking a project of relocating an oil refinery from Italy to Karachi with the capacity to refine 100,000 bpd (4.5 million tons per annum) of crude oil, they added.
ADB okays $100m loan for Sindh:
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has approved $100 million loan to strengthen the standards in the development and delivery of public-private partnership (PPP) projects and help bridge the infrastructure investment gap in Sindh.The government of the United Kingdom, through the Department for International Development, is also co-financing the project, contributing $19.23 million as grant and $4.75 million as technical assistance, both of which will be managed by the ADB. The total cost of the project is $188.98 million in which the Sindh government will be contributing $65 million.“Sindh province continues to have large infrastructure and social service needs which PPPs can assist in addressing,” said ADB’s Country Director to Pakistan Werner Liepach. “The project will strengthen the provincial government’s capacity to identify, develop, and implement PPPs as well as boost private sector participation.”
PTCL offers separation scheme to half of its workforce:
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) on Monday offered Voluntary Separation Scheme (VSS) to half of its workforce – the fourth scheme since its privatisation – in a bid to compete effectively with players in the telecom industry.A decline in fixed landline business – once its mainstay – and digitisation of services have reduced the workforce requirement.PTCL has offered VSS to 9,000 employees, which is half of its workforce of 18,000, announced Syed Mazhar Hussain, Chief Human Resource Officer of PTCL at a press conference.This is the fourth scheme since 2008 – the year when the company offered VSS to 35,000 employees, out of which 30,000 opted for it.



SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 28 November 2016 | LANDING

The Pakistan Stock Exchange saw its highest closing ever of 43,060.71 after experiencing a 61.05 point increase. Market remains range bound as it touches highest level of 43,184.92 points while the lowest level 42,999.66 points.  SBP decision to keeps policy rate unchanged, OPEC member’s upcoming meeting sparked little interest in local bourse, but major investors remain sideline ahead of Panama case hearing.  Relatively Dull activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 460 million shares as compared to 504 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 418 companies were traded; at the end of the day 237 stocks closed higher, 168 declined, while 13 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 7.75 billion decreased by 19%.

Bulls remain active in capital market; major activity witnessed in Chemical, Technology & Communication and Inv Banks/ Inv Cos. / Sec Cos. sector. In Chemical sector LOTCHEM, ICI were the shining star throughout the session and appreciated their value by 8.78%, 2.02%, while COLG declined their value by 2.82%. In Technology & Communication Sector, MDTL, WTL surge their value by 13.89%, 3.79%, while PAKD drop by 4.85%. Moreover in Inv Bank/ Inv Cos. / sector, PASL, IGIBL, IFSL appreciated the most 5.90%, 12.61%, 5.00%.

Active list was topped by LOTCHEM with 30 million shares as it closed at PKR 9.04 with a positive change of PKR 0.73.MDTL was the second highest on the volume chart with 28 million shares closed at PKR 6.15 with a positive change of PKR 0.75. It was followed by NRSL with 15 million shares closed at PKR 13.65 with a positive change of PKR 0.83, WTL with 15 million shares closed at PKR 3.01 with a positive change of PKR 0.11.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Chemical Sector as it was traded above 58 million shares followed by Technology & Communication sector which recorded the volume of 56 million shares whereas Inv Bank/Inv Cos. /Sec. Cos sparked at 3rd place by trading above 45 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Rafhan Maize, which rose by PKR 378.00 to PKR 7938.00 per share; followed by Philip Morris Pak, that improved by PKR 88.40 to PKR 2018.40 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which fell by PKR 102.94 to PKR 4485.83 per share; followed by Colgate Palmolive, dropped by PKR 47.95 to PKR 1651.05 per share.


Factors for Today:

·        Monetary matters: SBP keeps policy rate unchanged at 5.75%
·        ADB approves $325m loan to connect off-grid areas in K-P, Punjab
·        No relief for Punjab despite gas price cut
·        Government urged to normalise trade ties with India
·        Money Market: Bank borrowing rises




Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Panama Leak Case

Sunday 27 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 28 November 2016 | TAKE OFF

Monetary matters: SBP keeps policy rate unchanged at 5.75%:
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) left the target rate on hold at 5.75% for the next two months in the monetary policy announcement on Saturday.“I was expecting a 25-basis-point (bps) raise because of the recent rise in inflation in the country,” commented National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST) School of Social Sciences and Humanities Dean Dr Ashfaque Hasan Khan.When the central bank kept the policy rate unchanged two months ago, the inflation had not looked threatening, which was not the case now, said Khan. By raising the rate by 25 bps, the SBP could have given the signal to the market that it was watching the developments closely, he added.
ADB approves $325m loan to connect off-grid areas in K-P, Punjab:
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Friday approved a $325-million loan to provide electricity to off-grid communities in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) and Punjab, as almost half of Pakistan’s rural population remains deprived of electricity.The Board of Directors of the Manila-based lender approved the loan to enhance Pakistan’s energy security by helping install clean energy sources and improve people’s access to electricity in two of the country’s provinces, according to an official handout.It is the second loan the ADB approved in less than 24 hours, bringing fresh approvals to $525 million. Unlike the previous loan of $200 million that will be used for budget financing, the fresh borrowings have been obtained for project implementation.
No relief for Punjab despite gas price cut:
The Pakistan Textile Exporters Association (PTEA) has expressed concern over the disparity in industrial gas prices within the country, saying the recent reduction of Rs200 per mmbtu will prove unfruitful as the Punjab textile industry is already running on re-gasified liquefied natural gas (RLNG).In order to register protest and announce a strategy against discrimination with the Punjab textile industry, all textile associations and the Faisalabad Chamber of Commerce and Industry will hold a joint press conference on Monday.
Government urged to normalise trade ties with India:
The World Bank has urged Pakistan to fully normalise trade relations with India to facilitate deep forms of trade integration as this step would allow Pakistan to benefit from New Delhi's fast growth and promote complementarities, including value chain activities and investment potential.This is one of the key recommendations of a technical note titled "Pakistan-unlocking private sector growth through increased trade and investment competitiveness" prepared by a World Bank team comprised of Rafay Khan of the Trade and Competitiveness, South Asia and Nadia Rocha of the Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice of the World Bank Group. Guillermo Arenas, Olivier Cattaneo, Michael Ferrantino and Saima Zuberi also gave their input to the note.World Bank's team argues that Pakistan still needs to fully leverage its strategic location and its proximity not only to regional but also global trade leaders. Integration with its neighbouring countries and regions is all the more important given the need for the country to diversify both its product basket and markets. Removal of international sanctions on Iran, as a starting point offers Pakistan the greatest opportunity to enter a relatively untapped market.
Oil market would balance even without output cuts: Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia's energy minister Khalid al-Falih said on Sunday that he believed the oil market would balance itself in 2017 even if producers did not intervene, and that keeping output at current levels could therefore be justified.Under a preliminary agreement reached in September in Algeria, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would reduce its production to between 32.5 million and 33 million barrels per day, its first supply curb since 2008.OPEC oil ministers meet in Vienna on Wednesday in an effort to finalise that deal; OPEC also wants non-OPEC producers such as Russia to support the intervention by curbing their output.Falih said on Sunday Saudi Arabia was sticking to its position on the Algiers agreement that everyone should cooperate."We expect the level of demand to be encouraging in 2017, and the market will reach balance in 2017 even if there is no intervention by OPEC. But OPEC intervention aims to expedite this balance and the market recovery at a faster pace," he said.
China offers huge trade opportunities:
Luo Qiang, leader of the high ranking Chinese business delegation, on Sunday said that there was a vast scope for further enhancement of bilateral trade between Pakistan and China in furniture sector and urged the private sector of two countries to establish joint ventures for further upgradation of business ties.During visit to 6th Interiors Pakistan exhibition here at the Expo Centre, Qiang praised the quality of calligraphic engraved furniture and admitted the fact that the furniture items produced in the country have great demand in international markets.He offered huge trade opportunities to Pakistani business community in furniture sector and invited Pakistani counterparts to visit China to explore further avenues of mutual investment in various sectors.Talking to journalists, Qiang said the purpose of their visit to Pakistan was to share experiences and exchange views with local business community and explore new opportunities of matchmakings with Pakistani counterparts.
Money Market: Bank borrowing rises:
THE government raised Rs289.74bn from the auction of Market Treasury Bills of various tenors last Thursday, exceeding its target of Rs250bn. The central bank had received much higher bids of Rs480.38bn. In the earlier auction also the target set was exceeded.Of the total raised amount, three month T-bill fetched the highest Rs187.89bn at a cut off yield of 5.95pc, followed by 6-month T-bill Rs100.91bn at 5.95pc and 12-month T-bills Rs944bn at 5.949pc.The central bank had received highest bid for three month T-bill Rs255.66bn, followed by 6-month T-bill with Rs188.40bn and 12-month T-bill Rs36.31bn.
Rupee report: Dollar strenghtens against rupee:
In the local currency market, the rupee/dollar parity remained stable in interbank dealings despite extensive pressure in the open market.Amid fluctuations, since April, the rupee, being in a tight spot, continued to slide against the dollar in the open market since the start of 2016.The rupee has fallen around 1.03pc so far this month and by nearly 2pc since July. The rupee is currently trading at Rs107 against the dollar in the open market, its lowest level since December 2015.Globally, the dollar rolled higher to a nearly 14-year peak versus major rivals last week, driven by an expected high US inflation and interest rates, leading to a more than 6pc gain in the past two months, its strongest showing over a similar period since early 2015.The pound traded near a multi-decade low after its strongest monthly performance in eight years, hitting a nine-week high against other currencies. Last week on the interbank market, the rupee parity remained unchanged continued to trade at Rs104.84 and Rs104.85 for the first three consecutive sessions.


Friday 25 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 25 November 2016 | LANDING

Positive Closure on Previous day helped market to kick starts on bullish, after that market gone in the volatile mode. Despite news comes out of DCL Board of Director selling 51% shares of the company to foreign party make the DCL scrip in the positive momentum. Furthermore SSGC petitions decision dismissed by High Court make the Scrip in the Lower lock of the ending session of the market. However, decline in forex reserves, selling from foreigners washed away a major chunk of positive and led market to close mild green. At close, the (PSX) Benchmark 100- share index rose 0.12% or 49.93 points to end at 42999.66 levels. Relatively Slow activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 504 million shares as compared to 564 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 393 companies were traded; at the end of the day 217 stocks closed higher, 164 declined, while 12 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 9.56 billion decreased by 13%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in Technology & Communication, Textile Composite and Textile Spinning sector. In Technology sector MDTL, WTL were the shining star throughout the session and appreciated their value by 8.00%, 3.20%, while TRG declined their value by 1.19%. In Textile Composite Sector, ANL, SFL, DLL surge their value by 1.10%, 1.22%, 4.95%. Moreover in Textile Spinning sector, AMTEX, IDYM, GADT appreciated the most 23.95%, 4.57%, 3.88%.

Active list was topped by AMTEX with 28 million shares as it closed at PKR 3.83 with a positive change of PKR 0.74.MDTL was the second highest on the volume chart with 23 million shares closed at PKR 5.40 with a positive change of PKR 0.40. It was followed by SSGC with 23 million shares closed at PKR 43.83 with a negative change of PKR 2.30, BOP with 22 million shares closed at PKR 18.54 with a negative change of PKR 0.28.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Technology & Communication Sector as it was traded above 58 million shares followed by Textile Composite sector which recorded the volume of 55 million shares whereas Textile Spinning sparked at 3rd place by trading above 48 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which rose by PKR 66.23 to PKR 4588.77 per share; followed by Service Ind. Ltd, that improved by PKR 61.64 to PKR 1538.99 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Rafhan Maize, which fell by PKR 140.00 to PKR 7560.00 per share; followed by Philip Morris Pak, dropped by PKR 86.35 to PKR 1930.00 per share.


Factors for Today:

·        DCL; the B.O.D likely to Sell 51% share of company to Foreign Party
·        PIA arranges financing facility of $130 million
·        Placement of funds: SECP puts maximum cap on AMCs
·        Tariff raised for Matiari-Lahore transmission line
·        Dollar hits Rs107 on unchecked gold smuggling




Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Panama Leak Case

Thursday 24 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 25 November 2016 | TAKE OFF

DCL; the B.O.D likely to Sell 51% share of company to Foreign Party:
At a meeting of the board of Directors (“Board”) of Dewan Cement Limited (“the company”) held on November 24,2016, the Board was informed by Dewan Muhammad Yousuf Farooqui  that while he is exploring the possibility of selling 51% shares of the company currently held by him and his associates to a Foreign Party for which , Next Capital Limited has been engaged as financial advisor (Subject to consent of the lender s steering committee), the Company should also in parallel, explore the possibility of sale of the north plant located at Haripur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (“North Plant”) and in this regard , also engage Next Capital Limited  as advisor of the company.
PIA arranges financing facility of $130 million:
Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) has arranged a financing facility of $130 million (Rs13.65 billion) to meet day-to-day expenditures and improve the standard of services to passengers, according to a handout issued Thursday. “The facility will be by PIA for its general working capital requirements and improvement in passenger services,” spokesman for the national carrier said. The lenders include Credit Suisse Singapore Office, United Bank Limited and National Bank of Pakistan. The agreement to this effect was recently signed in Dubai. “The facility reflects the confidence and trust of the international financing institutions in the operations of PIA,” he added.
240 shipments of LNG: government sees strong interest in giant tender
Pakistan LNG Ltd has received strong interest in its tender to buy as many as 240 shipments of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from suppliers hungry to sell gas in an oversupplied market, a senior official told Reuters on Thursday. The emergence of Pakistan as a large-scale buyer is a welcome boost in the market for the super cooled gas as demand slows in traditional big buyers like Japan."The response is beyond what we thought," the executive said, speaking in an interview on the sidelines of an LNG conference in Tokyo. Gilani didn't identify any of the bidding suppliers. The company launched its tender to purchase a combined 240 shipments of liquefied natural gas (LNG), The mid-term tender covers a period of five years and calls for 60 shipments, while the long-term tender is for 15 years and 180 cargoes, according to information presented in the tender documents released on the company's website earlier this month.
Placement of funds: SECP puts maximum cap on AMCs:
The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) has put a maximum cap on Asset Management Companies (AMCs) for placement of funds, on behalf of each eligible collective investment scheme (CIS), with all microfinance banks, non-bank finance companies and Modarabas. In this regard, the SECP has issued direction No 37 of 2016-Maximum Cap on Placement/Deposit with MFBs/NBFCs and Modarabas here on Thursday. According to the SECP, the commission hereby directs that an Asset Management Company (AMC) on behalf of each eligible collective investment scheme (CIS) shall not place funds (including TDR, PLS saving deposit, COD, COM, COI, money market placements and other clean placements of funds) of more than 25% of net assets of that CIS with all microfinance banks, non-bank finance companies and Modarabas. Provided that the above restrictions will not be applicable on sector specific fund and aggressive income fund, the SECP maintained. The direction shall come into force with immediate effect. However, in case of a CIS which is currently not in compliance with the aforementioned restriction shall ensure compliance within ninety (90) days of the issuance of the SECP direction or until the maturity of existing TDRs/ Fixed Deposit/Placements, whichever is later, the SECP added.
Tariff raised for Matiari-Lahore transmission line:
After repeated requests by the government, the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) on Thursday allowed a 4.25% increase in the wheeling tariff to a Chinese firm for the construction of a critical 878-km Matiari-Lahore transmission line at a cost of $2.1 billion. The power regulator allowed about four paisa per unit increase in the tariff for the transmission line, allowing higher payloads in the first 10 years on at least three components and on one element for 15 years. Thus, the 25-year levelised tariff for the project was jacked up from about 71 paisa per unit to more than 74 paisa per unit.
Large-scale manufacturing grew 2.2pc in first quarter:
Large-scale manufacturing (LSM) grew 2.2 per cent in the first quarter of the current fiscal year on an annual basis, figures issued by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) showed on Thursday. In September alone, LSM grew 1.9pc over the corresponding month of the last year. With lower-than-expected LSM growth, the government is likely to revise downward the gross domestic product growth target for the current fiscal year. LSM data provided by the Ministry of Industries and Production for 36 items showed growth of 1.04pc during the quarter under review. Similarly, data provided by the provincial bureaus of statistics for 65 items showed growth of 1.28pc over the same period.
Reserves down $230m:
Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves amounted to $23.8 billion on November 18, down $230 million (0.95 per cent) from a week ago, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Thursday.According to a statement released by the central bank, the decrease in reserves was mainly due to payments on account of external debt servicing. SBP’s liquid foreign exchange reserves decreased 0.94pc week-on-week to $18.8bn. Net foreign exchange reserves held by commercial banks amounted to $5bn on Nov 18, registering a nominal decrease over the preceding week.
CCP says IT ministry encroaching upon its jurisdiction:
The Competition Commission of Pakistan (CCP) has accused the Ministry of Information Technology of encroaching upon its jurisdiction by taking over the role of assessing the competition behaviour in the telecommunication sector. In a strong-worded policy note the antitrust watchdog sent to the federal government on November 10, the CCP has warned that any such attempt will be seen as ‘negation of roles’ assigned in the Constitution of Pakistan.
Dollar hits Rs107 on unchecked gold smuggling:
The local currency is once again losing position, with the rupee shedding at least Re1 against dollar just in one week mainly due to gold smuggling from Dubai, eating up around $5 million daily, forex industry experts said on Thursday. Around 125kg of gold is being smuggled to different big cities of the country from UAE through Dubai flights and to fulfill such a huge demand almost $5 million is being pulled out from Pakistan open market, claimed Forex Association of Pakistan Chairman Malik Bostan. While Talking to The Nation, he said that his association has conveyed to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) for interference to stabilise the local currency. He said that presently around $4-5 million dollar is supplied to local market on daily basis which is enough for local market but following significant cut in gold rates in global market, the demand of gold has increased sharply.



SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 24 November 2016 | LANDING

KSE100 garnered further strength closed up 48.71 points, touch a new all-time high 43,206 but closed just shy of 43,000 marks. The benchmark index looks hovering to set a new all-time high in today's session owing to resilience of local investors as foreign selling seem to influence only the nervous investors. Anticipation of an increase in Discount Rate in upcoming Monetary Policy drive a positive rally in market, moreover boom in global crude oil prices supported the overall increase in market. The Benchmark KSE-100 index closed higher by 48.71 points or 0.11%, to close at 42,949.73 levels. Relatively Strong activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 564 million shares as compared to 495 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 412 companies were traded; at the end of the day 224 stocks closed higher, 174 declined, while 14 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 10.98 billion decreased by 5%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in Miscellaneous, Commercial Banks and Technology sector. In Miscellaneous sector PACE, SHFA, TRIPF remain in the red zone throughout the session and declined their value by 0.56%, 0.99%, 1.03%. In Commercial Bank Sector, BOP, MCB drop their value by 0.16%, 0.47%, while SMBL appreciated by 1.54%. Moreover in Technology & Communication sector, MDTL & PAKD appreciated the most 16.28%, 4.52%, while TRG depreciated their value by 0.46%.

Active list was topped by PACE with 61 million shares as it closed at PKR 12.54 with a negative change of PKR 0.25.ANL was the second highest on the volume chart with 31 million shares closed at PKR 9.12 with a positive change of PKR 0.73. It was followed by PIAA with 30 million shares closed at PKR 13.15 with a negative change of PKR 0.07, BOP with 29 million shares closed at PKR 18.82 with no change.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Miscellaneous Sector as it was traded above 63 million shares followed by Commercial Bank sector which recorded the volume of 58 million shares whereas Technology & Communication sparked at 3rd place by trading above 58 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Rafhan Maize, which rose by PKR 290.00 to PKR 7700.00 per share; followed by Nestle Pakistan, that improved by PKR 200.00 to PKR 8750.00 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which fell by PKR 238.02 to PKR 4522.54 per share; followed by Philip Morris Pak, dropped by PKR 93.16 to PKR 2016.35 per share.


Factors for Today:

·        OGDCL produces record 50,172 bpd
·        Monetary policy on 26th
·        Oil refinery to be set up in place of Gadani coal power project
·        Govt incentives boost Islamic banks
·        Pakistan-America conference to be held next year




Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Panama Leak Case















Wednesday 23 November 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 24 November 2016 | TAKE OFF

OGDCL produces record 50,172 bpd:
The state-run Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDCL) on Wednesday hit a record production level of 50,172 barrels per day (bpd) of oil, securing 57 per cent share in the country’s total production of about 88,000 bpd . “The crossing of 50,000 bpd psychological barrier is a historic moment. It has been our long-standing aspiration for decades,” said Zahid Mir, the chief executive officer of the company at a news conference. Pakistan meets around 12pc of its oil requirement from indigenous resources. On top of that, the company is all set to inject about 4,000 barrels of additional oil per day, 100 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd) of gas and 400 tonnes of liquefied petroleum gas, starting with fewer quantities in the first week of December and then gradually going up. This addition would come from Kunar Pasakhi Deep field in Sindh which had been held up due to disputes and court cases. He said the OGDCL’s production has hovered between 35,000-45,000 bpd. Last year, it produced about 41,000 bpd. He said the company had taken in hand an aggressive exploration and development program in the last few years to take advantage of a slowdown in drilling activities in the Middle East and around the world.
Oil refinery to be set up in place of Gadani coal power project:
The federal government has decided to establish a new oil refinery on the land allotted for the 6,600-megawatt coal-based Gadani Power Park Project. According to Prime Minister’s Office directives available with Dawn, the premier has directed that the land earlier earmarked for the power project be allotted to Pakistan Arab Refinery Company (Parco) for building up the Khalifa Coastal Refinery (KCR). According to sources quoting an official letter issued by the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has observed that the allocation of land to Pakistan Power Park Management Company Ltd (PPPMCL) for the Gadani project is no longer required as it has been abandoned.
Monetary policy on 26th:
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) said on Wednesday the bi-monthly monetary policy will be announced on Nov 26. With rising government borrowing from the central bank and a widening fiscal deficit, independent economists, analysts and other stakeholders will be keenly watching the monetary policy stance. Analysts expect a slight increase in the key interest rate, currently at 5.75 per cent, in view of the Consumer Price Index, which has been rising on a month-on-month basis.
Govt incentives boost Islamic banks:
Pakistan’s Islamic banks are introducing new products and adjusting policies to take advantage of government incentives designed to boost growth in the industry. Shariah-compliant banks in the country, the world’s second most populous Muslim nation, held 11.4 per cent of total banking assets in June, barely changed from a year ago. That is well below levels of around 25pc seen in Gulf Arab states. To help change this, the government introduced a 2pc tax rebate for Shariah-compliant manufacturing firms in July to encourage them to eliminate interest-bearing debt from their balance sheets. The central bank has exempted Islamic banks from using interest-based benchmarks for some financing products.
Pakistan-America conference to be held next year:
The Pakistan, America Business Opportunities Conference will be organised early next year. This was agreed in a meeting between Sindh Board of Investment (SBI) Chairperson Naheed Memon and officials of the Consulate of United States in Karachi, said a statement Wednesday. Over 30 companies are expected to attend the Pakistan American Business Opportunities Conference. The companies working in the sectors include information technology, energy infrastructure, agriculture, food, textile, garments and finance, which are expected to participate in the event.
IFC likely to inject $500m into Pakistan Development Fund:
The International Finance Corporation of the World Bank Group may inject $500 million in Pakistan Development Fund Limited (PDFL) – a company set up with a generous Saudi contribution of $1.5 billion – as the government has offered it 20% equity stake. The government has decided to keep control of the company in its hands and therefore, offered only 20% equity stake to the International Finance Corporation (IFC) of the World Bank Group, said sources in the Ministry of Finance.
Chinese and Iranian companies interested in leasing PSM:
Chinese and Iranian state-owned companies are interested in taking over loss-making Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM) as part of a long-term lease deal, Privatisation Commission Chairman Mohammad Zubair said on Wednesday. Built by the Soviet Union in 1970s, state-owned PSM has become a huge drain on government resources and shuttered steel production in 2015. PSM has accumulated losses worth 163 billion rupees ($1.56 billion) and other outstanding debts. The government had hoped to sell PSM but has struggled to find buyers and faced opposition to the sale from the Sindh government, as well as a powerful union which represents many of the 14,000 PSM workers.
Rail, energy and infrastructure: China to make extra $8.5 billion investments
Pakistan has secured an additional $8.5 billion of investment from Beijing as part of the countries' joint energy, transport and infrastructure plan, Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal said on Wednesday. That is on top of the $46-billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) project, which focuses on road building and energy infrastructure to end chronic power shortages in Pakistan and to link China's landlocked north-west with the deep-water port Gwadar on the Arabian Sea. Some $4.5 billion of the additional investment will be spent on upgrading tracks and signalling on Pakistan's main railway line from Karachi to Peshawar and increase the speed on the line to 160 km per hour from the current 60-80 kph, Iqbal told Reuters in an interview. Another $4 billion will go towards an LNG terminal and transmission line, he added."This has now all been approved, so this is an additional $8.5 billion to the $46 billion we had already, so we are now close to $55 billion," Iqbal said.
Government set to review telecom licensing framework:
The government is all set to review the telecommunication licensing framework aimed at enhancing and optimising the licensing regime to cater for emerging technological and market trends, it is learnt. Officials said that any new licensing regime will be based on international best practices. It will enable new services to be readily provided while meeting service specific requirements (including but not limited to quality of service, customer protection, content acceptability and national security) as they are defined. The licensing regime will continue rights and obligations associated with scarce resources and any obligations on network roll-out.