Monday 31 October 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 01 November 2016 | TAKE OFF

GSP Plus: EU team takes up targets tied to 27 Conventions:
The European Union (EU) Review Mission Monday held meetings with Chairman National Commission for Human Rights (NCHR), Justice Ali Nawaz Chohan, Commerce Minister Khurram Dastagir and top officials of Climate Change Division to discuss progress on the targets agreed between the government and the EU on 27 Conventions linked to GSP Plus. Since January 2014, Pakistan has benefited from the EU's Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) Plus regime, which has given considerable boost to Pakistan's exports to the EU. In order to maintain GSP+ Pakistan has to effectively implement 27 core international conventions on human and labour right, environmental protection and good governance. Well-informed sources told Business Recorder that the EU delegation raised questions regarding human rights situation in different parts of the country with the Chairman NCHR. The EU Mission was informed that Pakistan was passing through a critical phase after the operation against terrorists and human rights in Pakistan was not as bas as was being reported. The European Union has expressed concern over the death penalty especially by the Military Courts and this issue has been raised at different forums.
The EU is one of Pakistan's largest trading partners and the largest market for Pakistani exports. The overall EU-Pakistan trade volume reached €10.49 billion in 2015 up by 20.14 percent from 2013 with Pakistan enjoying a €1.6 billion surplus in the balance of trade with the EU.
Rs17.6bn for LPG air mix plants, fresh loan for Nandipur project approved:
The Economic Coor­din­ation Committee (ECC) on Monday allowed setting up of 65 liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) air mix plants with an estimated cost of Rs17.6 billion and constituted a price negotiation committee for import of additional quantities of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Presided over by Finance Minister Ishaq Dar, the ECC meeting also approved Rs30.6bn loan for controversial Nandipur Power Project and purchase of electricity from captive power plants to meet shortage in next two years besides allowing supply of 50,000 tonnes of wheat for displaced persons of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and the tribal region. An official statement said the ECC approved a summary of the petroleum ministry for setting up of LPG air mix plants, starting from Murree’s Kurbagla, Dewal, Company Bagh and Tret and Awaran and Bella in Balochistan, at the cost of Rs1.353bn to be funded by Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) and Sui Southern Gas Company Limited (SSGCL), said an official statement.
ECC extends another sovereign guarantee to Nandipur power plant:
The federal government extended sovereign guarantees of Rs30.6 billion to the Nandipur power plant after the company was unable to retire its entire debt. It also decided to buy 600 megawatts (MW) electricity from captive power plants to bridge a shortfall in the coming summers. The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) of the Cabinet approved issuance of the second revised sovereign guarantees worth Rs30.6 billion for the 425MW Nandipur power project until 31st May 2017, according to a handout issued by the Finance Ministry. The ECC also approved to set up a price negotiation committee to import liquefied natural gas (LNG) from different countries. The ECC’s decision to issue the guarantees for nine more months suggests that the company could not retire the debt it obtained from a syndicate of banks to install the power plant on the back of government guarantees.
Banking sector grew by 16.1pc in FY16:
The banking industry grew by 16.1 per cent during FY16 despite experiencing some pressure on its profits due to declining interest rates and spreads. However, the outlook remained stable with high solvency levels, a strong capital base, contained non-performing loans and improving risk management systems, said the performance review of State Bank for FY16 issued on Monday. The doubling of private sector credit was the most encouraging development during the year which contributed significantly in achieving 4.7pc growth in real GDP, said the report. This was despite a major setback in the agriculture sector due to a 27pc decline in the cotton crop.
Govt moves to appease masses, keeps oil prices unchanged:
The government decided to keep oil prices unchanged from November 1 (today) amid increasing political pressure building up in the capital. Following an uptick in the international price, the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) had recommended an increase in the range of 2.8% to 15.6% for November.
Textile industry: Bosan rejects APTMA demand for duty-free import of cotton:
Minister for National Food Security and Research Sikander Hayat Khan Bosan has rejected the All Pakistan Textile Mills Association’s (Aptma) demand to allow duty-free import of raw cotton to support the textile industry. Earlier, Aptma representatives sought from the government, among other incentives, to allow duty-free import of raw cotton for import but Bosan declined this demand conditionally. “No duty-free cotton import will be permitted until and unless all the locally-produced cotton is sold completely,” said the minister while talking to the media on Monday. “We are expecting much better production of cotton than in the previous year,” said Bosan, adding that authorities were looking forward to a rate of Rs3,000-plus for cotton in the international market.
S&P raises Pakistan rating, says outlook stable
Standard and Poor’s revised Pakistan long-term credit rating from B- to B Monday, saying better policymaking had improved the economy’s performance and raised the country’s growth prospects.The agency said Pakistan continued to benefit under its democratically elected government and that a reform programme had helped to restore economic stability.It affirmed the ‘B’ short-term rating and said the outlook on the long-term rating was stable.However it warned that many of Pakistan’s structural weaknesses remained, including a narrow tax base and security risks, that weakened the government’s effectiveness and weighed on the business climate.“Notwithstanding the recent terrorist attacks in Quetta, however, we see even these structural weaknesses as having improved over the past few years.Combined, these factors motivated the upgrade,” it said in a statement.The agency forecasts average annual GDP growth to 5.5 per cent in the next three years from the current growth rate of 4.7pc.


SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 31 OCTOBER 2016 | LANDING

Reported news on K-Electric front Shanghai Electric, to buy 66.4% shares of Abraj Group for US $ 1.77 billion, helped the PSX to opened on positive note. At one time market touch the intra-day high of 40173.83pts. However, Last hours selling pressure in key stocks resist the index to close above the 40,000 levels. The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s benchmark KSE 100-share Index finished with a positive change of 0.05% or 20.96 points to end at 39,893.84 level. Dull activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 237 million shares as compared to 328 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 389 companies were traded, at the end of the day 215 stocks closed higher, 152 declined, while 22 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 5.63 billion decreased by 27%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in, Power Generation & Distribution, Commercial Banks and Oil & Gas Marketing  sector. In Power Generation sector, KEL, JPGL remain shining star throughout the session and appreciated their value by 0.23%, 2.53%, while SEL drop their value by 5.00%. In Banking Sector, BOP depreciated by 0.83%, while HBL, SILK appreciated their value by 1.19%, 6.71%.Moreover in Oil & Gas  sector SSGC, SHEL, SNGP appreciated their value by 1.44%, 1.82%, 1.99%.

Active list was topped by KEL with 40 million shares as it closed at PKR 9.33 with a positive change of PKR 0.22.BOP was the second highest on the volume chart with 25 million shares closed at PKR 15.61 with a negative change of PKR 0.12. It was followed by SSGC with 12 million shares closed at PKR 38.71 with a positive change of PKR 0.64, TPL with 11 million shares closed at PKR 13.81 with a positive change of PKR 0.24.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Power Generation & Distribution Sector as it was traded above 46 million shares followed by Commercial Banks sector which recorded the volume of 35 million shares whereas Oil & Gas Marketing Companies sparked at 3rd place by trading above 23 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Philip Morris Pak, which rose by PKR 83.36 to PKR 2033.36 per share; followed by Sanofi-Aventis, that improved by PKR 83.08 to PKR 1744.78 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Nestle Pakistan, which fell by PKR 225.00 to PKR 8100.00 per share; followed by Murree Brewery, dropped by PKR 55.55 to PKR 1055.49 per share.




Factors for Today:


·       Oil falls as non-OPEC yet to pledge concrete output steps
·       China's Shanghai Electric to buy $1.77bn stake in K-Electric
·       Bank Alfalah, Karandaaz ink agreements to digitise financial services
·       PTCL and Netflix sign collaboration agreement
·       Bank borrowing falls

Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Results Seasons.
















You may like to read an exclusive interview of Mr. Mohammad Azam Khan- CEO Sunrise Capital (Pvt.) Ltd in Pakistan & Gulf Economist (Leading weekly financial magazine since 40 years) Oct 31, 2016

PROFILE:

Azam Khan is a well reputed and recognized name in capital markets of Pakistan. His vision and leadership always proved to be exceptional. He has constantly proved his expertise and intelligence.
Sunrise Capital, under his guideline is contributing finest administrative, operational, research, sales and marketing objectives in the financial world. He started his professional career with international exposure at Mashreq Bank Dubai in a highly professional environment with dedication and commitment.
Subsequently, contributed his skills in the growth and development of Atlas Capital, professionally. Furthermore, he enjoyed rendering his abilities as Chief Operating Officer at Standard Capital Securities and brought in structural reforms in the institutions and succeeded comfortably with effective exit strategy before the financial crunch of capital market in 2008.
Under the guidelines and far sighted vision of Mr. Azam, Sunrise Capital developed a complete brand equipped with diversified expertise of human resource working passionately in his group of companies.

Q.No.01: Kindly tell me about yourself and your career?
Ans:
AZAM KHAN is a well reputed and recognized name in capital markets of Pakistan.  His Vision and leadership always proved to be exceptional. He has constantly proved his expertise and intelligence.
Sunrise Capital, under his guideline is contributing finest administrative, operational, research, sales & marketing objectives in the financial world. He started his professional career with international exposure at Mashreq Bank, Dubai in a highly professional environment with dedication and commitment. Subsequently, contributed his skills in the growth and development of Atlas Capital professionally.
Furthermore he enjoyed rendering his abilities as Chief Operating Officer at Standard Capital Securities and bring in structural reforms in the institutions and succeeded comfortably with effective exit strategy before the financial crunch of capital market in 2008. Under the guidelines and for sighted vision of Mr. Azam, developed sunrise a complete brand equipped with diversified expertise of human resource working passionately in his group of companies.

Q.No.02:  Your views on Pakistan Stock Exchange?

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) 100-Index is the best-performing stock market in the world and built the belief of foreign investors &local investors. Pakistan Stock Exchange—has stood out in recent years, despite a troubled political and security environment. The year 2016 proved to be a year of escalation and enthusiasm for the capital market as, PSX-100 index gained 8,035 points till date as compared to same period last year and generated a handsome return of 24%. While, 2015 is a hit to the continuous stellar performance of PSX-100 index over past years as PSX-100 Index registered meager increase of 2.1%. In 2015, PSX benchmark-100 index increased by only 678 points and closed at 32,816 points. During the period, Foreign Investors stealing the show as outflow of $ 94 million witnessed in 2016 till date, instead of outflow of $ 315.2 million in 2015.
PSX 100-index has crossed 41,688 points in Oct-16. Index turns out to be achievable because the SECP, The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan have taken a definite escort, in strengthening the regulatory framework that protects investor’s interest. It is also launching initiatives to widen the reach of the capital market investment products to savers across the nation. The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) is an eccentric institution: it is concurrently the chief regulator and the primary promoter of the development of Pakistani financial markets. It is our confidence that SECP would continue to strengthen its regulatory framework further and play its role in ridding the society of the curse of corruption. Moreover, SECP strict regulation attracted foreign investors and eventually raises the international inflow.
Moreover the Chinese have announced large investments in the country. When China’s $46-billion investment to build a China-Pakistan Economic Corridor actually happens, it will boost trade and make critical infrastructure, such as power, easily available to individuals and industries alike.

Q.No.03: How would you comment on the need of new products in Pakistan Stock Exchange?
I believe that for further development of Pakistan Stock Exchange, Management should introduce more products according to regional market as soon as possible, as, it is hard to survive in T+2, Future, MTS and Borrowing from banks in especially selective stocks.  PSX regulators should provide leverage window to TREC holders to enhance volume and build the confidence of stock brokers for expansion decision. In the precedent instance, PSX provides PKR 10 million intraday exposure to all TREC holders but now, we don’t have such facility. Hence, PSX regulator should focus on such issues and provide the reliable solution for the growth of the industry. It is necessary to conduct road shows locally in across the nation. Although, we had done countless road shows throughout the world but never focused on local investor and never recognize the strength of our people and their investments.

Q.No.04 : Your views on investment by foreigners in PSX?
Foreign investors were net sellers of USD 281mn in FY16. In ongoing Fiscal year  Foreign investors were net sellers of USD 53mn in FY17 till date and  USD 94mn in Calendar Year till date.
U already Knows that the American stock index firm MSCI included the KSE 100 in its emerging markets index, which represents 10% of the world’s market capitalization. MSCI said that Pakistan Index will be reclassified to the Emerging Markets status, coinciding with the May 2017 Semi-Annual Index Review. MSCI decision is to upgrade the country from the Frontier Markets status is expected to generate inflows of global portfolio investment by the middle of 2017. Although the actual reclassification of the index will follow next year, global investors tend to start factoring in the reclassification ahead of the actual change, which prompts massive inflows of global funds in the case of a favorable decision.
A reclassification of MSCI Pakistan Index from the current MSCI FM Index to MSCI EM Index result in the following:
·       Weight of Pakistan in MSCI Index is currently as follows ‐ MSCI FM Index @ 8.7% and MSCI FM Small Cap Index @ 8.5%.
·       This is expected to drop once Pakistan is elevated to the status of MSCI EM Index with weight dropping to @ 0.19%.
However, since funds tracking Emerging Markets are much bigger hence market pundits expect a net incremental inflow of around US$250mn if Pakistan’s status is elevated to MSCI EM Index; Number of constituents would decrease from 16 to 9 as given in the table. A possible status upgrade, coupled with incremental inflow of FIPI and hence rising liquidity could lead to a re‐rating in Pakistan’s equities.

Q.No.05: What is your take on the markets in the neighbouring countries?
Pakistan Stock Exchange is far ahead (compared to peers) in terms various performance indicators i-e valuations, dividend yield, corporate profitability; and has traditionally been traded at a discount to regional and emerging markets. This discount was attributable to lower growth trajectory and higher political and security risk. In 2016, Pakistan’s benchmark equity index, the KSE 100, has been one of Asia’s best performing. In fact, it is the fifth-best performing stock index globally. Bloomberg even referred to Pakistan as an Asian “tiger,” in a report.  KSE-100 when compares with another index: Since the beginning of 2016, till Oct, India’s S&P 100 index has gained 7.4%, and Shanghai Se Composite Index has gained 8%,  while KSE-100 index is up almost 24.5%.

PAGE: YOUR VIEWS ON RETAIL INVESTORS:
AZAM KHAN: Unfortunately, we did see a major confidence of retail investors towards Pakistan stock market after 2008 global financial crises and the main reason was lock down of the Pakistan capital market for almost around 110 days after crises to facilitate others and provide guarantee to IMF at 9400 index levels with almost $55 billion market capitalization to avail further loans.
Sunrise Capital working day and night to boost retail confidence in Pakistan and provide them all related secured tools to invest in PSX.

Sunday 30 October 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 31 OCTOBER 2016 | TAKE OFF

Oil falls as non-OPEC yet to pledge concrete output steps:
Oil prices extended declines on Monday after non-OPEC producers made no specific commitment to join OPEC in limiting oil output levels to prop up prices, suggesting they wanted the oil producing group to solve its differences first.Officials and experts from OPEC countries and non-OPEC nations including Azerbaijan, Brazil, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Oman and Russia met for consultations in Vienna on Saturday and only agreed to meet again in November before a scheduled regular OPEC meeting on Nov. 30, they said in a statement.London Brent crude for December delivery LCOc1 was down 29 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $49.42 a barrel by 0229 GMT after settling down 76 cents on Friday.NYMEX crude for December delivery CLc1 was trading down 23 cents, or 0.5 percent, at $48.47 a barrel, after closing down $1.02 on Friday.
China's Shanghai Electric to buy $1.77bn stake in K-Electric:
The Abraaj Group has announced that an Abraaj-controlled company, KES Power, has entered into a definitive agreement to divest its 66.4% shareholding in K-Electric to the Shanghai Electric Power Company Limited (SEP) for a consideration of $1.77 billion.SEP is a state-owned enterprise controlled by State Power Investment Corporation, a Fortune 500 company. Listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, it is mainly responsible for the power supply of Shanghai. “Upon completion, this will be one of the largest private sector transactions in Pakistan,” stated the press release issued by The Abraaj Group.
Bank Alfalah, Karandaaz ink agreements to digitise financial services
Bank Alfalah on Sunday has signed two major agreements with Karandaaz Pakistan - a non-profit company promoting financial inclusion in Pakistan.The agreements are aimed at promoting access to finance for small businesses through a commercially directed investment platform, to work jointly on multiple strategies to digitise payments and create convenient, transparent and reliable channels of financial transactions through a suite of financial products and services with a focus on retail supply chain payments.Under the first agreement, Karandaaz Pakistan will provide technical and financial assistance to Bank Alfalah for the development of a digital strategy that will help the bank to offer digital financial services to its customers, particularly the under-banked segments of the market.The second agreement focuses on digitisation of supply-chain payments and conversion of cash transactions to wallet account based transactions.
In a first, PTCL and Netflix sign collaboration agreement
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited (PTCL) has become the first telecommunication operator in Pakistan to a sign a partnership agreement with Netflix, the global internet television network, for the Pakistani market.PTCL and Netflix will use their respective resources for mutual benefit, utilising and maximising the viewing experience and penetration of Netflix services in Pakistan.This agreement between the two entities will serve as a way forward for both PTCL and Netflix to provide digital content fans in Pakistan with Netflix streaming. PTCL will support and promote original Netflix content in Pakistan.
Bank borrowing falls

The government raised Rs90.22bn from the auction of Market Treasury Bills of various tenors held last Thursday, missing its target of Rs200.00bn and also falling short of the received amount of Rs182.85bn.Of the total, 3 month T-bill’s fetched Rs68.95bn at a cut off yield of 5.90pc, followed by 12 month T-bill’s of Rs20.30bn at 5.92pc and 6 month T-bill’s of Rs971.40m at 5.91pc.The central bank had received total bids worth Rs182.85bn; 3 month Rs121.03bn, 6 month Rs40.10bn and 6 month T-bill Rs21.72bn.

Friday 28 October 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 28 OCTOBER 2016 | LANDING

Increasing political uncertainty, as date of PTI protests in Islamabad approaches, remains the main reason of nervousness among investors. The situation is exacerbated with arrest of PTI workers; which resulted in a country wise protest. Stocks endured another tough day as the benchmark-100 index fell to the 39,538 level in start; absence of triggers is also keeping investors away from picking up asset at lower levels. The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s benchmark KSE 100-share Index finished with a decline of 0.29% or 114.43 points to end at 39,872.88 level. Dull activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 328 million shares as compared to 384 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 387 companies were traded, at the end of the day 128 stocks closed higher, 236 declined, while 23 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 7.71 billion decreased by 17%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in, Commercial Banks, Technology & Communication and Cement sector. In Banking sector, BOP, NIB, SILK remain in the red zone throughout the session and depreciated their value by 3.61%, 0.99%, 1.20%. In Technology Sector, TRG, TELE depreciated by 3.35%, 2.45%, while NETSOL appreciated their value by 2.39%.Moreover in Cement sector DCL, LUCK, appreciated their value by 4.89%, 0.86%, while BWCL drop their value and depreciated by 2.84%.

Active list was topped by BOP with 47 million shares as it closed at PKR 15.74 with a negative change of PKR 0.62.TRG was the second highest on the volume chart with 17 million shares closed at PKR 39.53 with a negative change of PKR 1.80. It was followed by KEL with 14 million shares closed at PKR 9.10 with a positive change of PKR 0.16, DCL with 14 million shares closed at PKR 30.86 with a positive change of PKR 1.47.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Commercial Banks Sector as it was traded above 69 million shares followed by Technology & Communication sector which recorded the volume of 32 million shares whereas Cement sparked at 3rd place by trading above 27 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which rose by PKR 147.45 to PKR 3123.72 per share; followed by Sanofi-Aventis, that improved by PKR 79.12 to PKR 1661.70 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Colgate Palmolive, which fell by PKR 85.00 to PKR 1640.00 per share; followed by Service Ind. Ltd, dropped by PKR 63.68 to PKR 1218.32 per share.

Meezan Bank Limited announced its 9MCY16 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 4.55 billion translating into EPS of PKR 4.30
The Bank Of Punjab announced its 9MCY16 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 3.93 billion translating into EPS of PKR 2.53.
Nishat Mills Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 1.96 billion translating into EPS of PKR 4.57
Fauji Cement Company Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 5.36 billion translating into EPS of PKR (basic) 3.98.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 1.00.
Murree Brewery Company Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 284 million translating into EPS of PKR 12.32.

Cherat Cement Company Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 404 million translating into EPS of PKR (basic) 2.29.






Factors for Today:

FPCCI hints at reviewing trade ties with India:
Power regulator directs Discos to refund Rs20bn to consumers:
ADB offers $100m for Balochistan water projects:
Govt rejects Protection of Economic Reforms Bill 2016:
Police arrest scores of PTI workers at youth convention, Imran calls for countrywide protests:

Factors to watch:

International Oil prices.
PKR vs US$ movement.
Results Seasons.


Thursday 27 October 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 28 OCTOBER 2016 | TAKE OFF

FPCCI hints at reviewing trade ties with India:
The Federa­tion of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) on Thursday said it would consider suspending trade with India if the situation did not improve soon.FPCCI president Abdul Rauf Alam said that Pakistan had no compulsions of any sort to continue business and trade relations with India under the current hostile conditions. The entire Pakistani business community, he said, was united to take any decision and given the tense situation in the region, it was not possible to continue trade relations with India.He pointed out the role of the Saarc Chamber of Com­m­erce and Industry and said that it left them with no choice but to promote trade relations with ECO and D-8 countries.
Power regulator directs Discos to refund Rs20bn to consumers:
The power regulator on Thursday directed electricity distribution companies of formerly Wapda to refund Rs20 billion to consumers for overcharging them by 43 per cent in September.At a public hearing presided over by its chairman Brig (retired) Tariq Sadozai, the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) concluded that the power companies should refund Rs2.77 per unit (kwh) to consumers in the billing month of November to pass on the impact of lower international oil prices.
ADB offers $100m for Balochistan water projects:
Asian Development Bank (ADB) has shown interest to provide financing for the construction of two watersheds in Zhob and Mola to boost agriculture and irrigation in these areas.ADB Director Environment Natural Resources Division and West Department Akmal Siddiq made this offer in a meeting with Chief Minister Balochistan Sanullah Zehri on Thursday.The total cost of the project will be around $115 million and ADB will provide $100m over a period of 25 years with easy terms and condition under soft-loan while the rest of the money will be provided by the Balochistan government.ADB representative Akmal Siddiq said that under the proposed project many small schemes like construction of small dams, water channels and flood protection infrastructures will also be developed. There were also talks of introducing a drip-irrigation system in Balochistan which is very successful in areas where water scarcity is a big issue.
6-8 hours loadshedding govt’s policy
National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) Chairman Tariq Sadozai Thursday expressed serious concerns over deliberate power loadshedding by National Transmission & Despatch Company (NTDC) and said that 49 percent of power plants were not operated during the month of September.“Since the capacity is available, why did the government not utilised it and why the consumers are teased for not giving them hours’ long power,” he questioned, while presiding over a public hearing on fuel price adjustment for the month of September 2016.During the hearing the authority accorded Rs2.77 per unit reduction in electricity tariff for Ex-Wapda distribution companies for September 2016 under the monthly fuel price adjustment to pass on the benefits of the ‘cheaper cost of fuel for power generation’ to the domestic power consumers.The decision will have a cumulative impact of around Rs20 billion on the consumers bills.In a public hearing on the petition filed by the Central Power Purchase Agency (CPPA), he said that the distribution companies had charged Rs6.4326 per unit on account of fuel cost to consumers in September but the actual fuel cost was significantly lower.
Govt rejects Protection of Economic Reforms Bill 2016:
The government on Thursday opposed the opposition party’s “the Protection of Economic Reforms (Amendment) Bill 2016”, by saying no one could transfer capital abroad without approval of the relevant authorities.The Senate Standing Committee of Finance and Revenue has discussed the Senator Saleem Mandviwalla’s Bill to withdraw unprecedented immunities enjoyed by foreign currency account holders.The Bill is supposed to review all the existing laws that allowed people to transfer money abroad and evade taxes.The proposed amendments have taken care of genuine foreign currency account holders and are seeking to cut the benefits of only those who are transferring billions of dollars abroad without any check.Mandviwalla said that FBR and SBP are giving different statements on this issue.According to the FBR, he said, there is no bar on transferring capital to the other countries.While, the SBP believed that FBR has to investigate the foreign currency account, he added.
Contribution of telecom to kitty up:
Telecom contribution to national exchequer has increased from Rs126.3 billion last year to Rs157.8 billion in 2015-16.faAccording to PTA officials, overall government collections including GST were decreased but there could be a number of factors behind this decline.For example, the federal government and the Punjab government have exempted GST on internet/data services, whereas the Sindh government is charging reduced rate on internet/data services.Resultantly, officials claimed, the share of tax-exempted data revenue in the total telecom revenues increased to 29 percent in 2015-16 as compared to 19.3 percent in 2013-14.
Industrial projects along CPEC: ICBC willing to provide finances:
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has shown its willingness to support Pakistan in boosting its industrial growth, under the China-Pakistan Economic corridor's package. The Bank's officials said here on Thursday that the Bank has decided to provide financial support in undertaking industry-related projects in Pakistan and other regional countries.The government of China encouraged the Bank to invest in Pakistan for making the CPEC successful that is a major and pilot project one road, one belt. According to the officials, the Bank has also started a new round of high-level opening-up, in the background of the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road initiatives.
Reserves fall 0.5pc:
The liquid foreign exchange reserves amounted to $24.3 billion on Oct 21, down 0.5 per cent from a week ago, the SBP announced on Thursday. SBP’s liquid foreign exchange reserves decreased $135 million whereas its liquid foreign exchange reserves declined $141m to $19.3bn during the week. The SBP made payments of $137m on account of external debt servicing and other official payments during the week.
Government makes fresh borrowing of $1.8 billion:
The federal government took $1.8 billion in fresh foreign loans over the past three months including $900 million from commercial banks in an effort to keep foreign currency reserves at historic highs amid growing external debt repayments. Pakistan’s all-weather friend China also came to its rescue and provided $700 million for 10 days so that the country could meet its external obligations without taking a significant hit on the foreign currency reserves. China Development Bank extended the $700-million loan.
Police arrest scores of PTI workers at youth convention, Imran calls for countrywide protests:
Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf chairman Imran Khan on Thursday gave a call for countrywide protests for October 27 after Islamabad police stormed PTI’s youth convention in Islamabad and arrested scores of party activists. Imran, while addressing a press conference following the arrests of his workers, said his workers and and the planned sit-in on November 2 was planned to be peaceful.


SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 27 OCTOBER 2016 | LANDING

Pakistan Stock Exchange benchmark KSE- 100 index went sliding down by 539 points below 40,000 level, at 39,987 level; Struck by continued political standoff between the government& the opposition as the court decision is against ‘Dharna’. PSX take a hard knock as investors booked profits in the overbought market, pulling the benchmark index 1.33% down. Political uncertainty, foreign outflows and roll over week played a catalyst role in the bearish close.  Moreover rising coal prices and falling global crude prices invited pressure in cement and oil sectors. Swift activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 384 million shares as compared to 347 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 418 companies were traded, at the end of the day 74 stocks closed higher, 331 declined, while 13 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 9.32 billion decreased by 9%.

Bearish activity witnessed in capital market; major activity witnessed in, Commercial Banks, Technology & Communication and Power Generation sector. In Banking sector, BOP, HBL remain in the red zone throughout the session and depreciated their value by 5.39%,1.71%, while NIB improve their value by 3.57%. In Technology Sector, TRG, PAKD, WTL depreciated by 4.99%, 4.78%, 12.11%.Moreover in Power Generation sector KEL, KAPCO, JPGL drop their value and depreciated by 2.28%, 1.77%, 8.73%.

Active list was topped by BOP with 41 million shares as it closed at PKR 16.33 with a negative change of PKR 1.00.NIB was the second highest on the volume chart with 23 million shares closed at PKR 2.03 with a positive change of PKR 0.04. It was followed by TRG with 22 million shares closed at PKR 40.90 with a negative change of PKR 2.15, KEL with 18 million shares closed at PKR 8.99 with a negative change of PKR 0.20.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Commercial Banks Sector as it was traded above 82 million shares followed by Technology & Communication sector which recorded the volume of 52 million shares whereas Power Generation & Distribution sparked at 3rd place by trading above 33 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which rose by PKR 141.72 to PKR 2976.27 per share; followed by Sanofi-Aventis, that improved by PKR 75.36 to PKR 1582.58 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Unilever Foods, which fell by PKR 284.50 to PKR 5405.50 per share; followed by Bata Pak, dropped by PKR 199.80 to PKR 4100.20 per share.

PACE (Pakistan) Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 131 million translating into EPS of PKR  (basic) 0.47.
INDUS Motor Company Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 3.04 billion translating into EPS of PKR 38.77.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 25.
Engro Corporation Limited announced its 9MCY16 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 11.32 billion translating into EPS of PKR(basic) 16.39.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 8.00.
D.G. Khan Cement Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 1.72 billion translating into EPS of PKR 3.94.
National Bank of Pakistan  announced its 9MCY16 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 13.64 billion translatin`g into EPS of PKR 6.40.
Kohat Cement Company Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 991 million translating into EPS of PKR 6.42.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 4.00.
O.G.D.C Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 14.6 billion translating into EPS of PKR 3.40.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 1.50.
Lucky Cement Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 4.04 billion translating into EPS of PKR 11.69.




Factors for Today:

Large-scale manufacturing growth clocks up at 1.97pc:
Pakistan moves up in ease of doing business rankings:
Coal-based projects: Work on 7,000MW power plants likely to be abandoned:
Directives: SNGPL, SSGC to print meter-reading on utility bills:
KAPCO privatisation runs into trouble:


Factors to watch:

International Oil prices.
PKR vs US$ movement.
Results Seasons.







Wednesday 26 October 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 27 OCTOBER 2016 | TAKE OFF

Large-scale manufacturing growth clocks up at 1.97pc:
Large-scale manufacturing (LSM) grew 1.97 per cent year-on-year in the first two months of 2016-17, according to figures issued by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Wednesday. With lower-than-expected LSM growth, the government is likely to revise the gross domestic product (GDP) growth target downward for the current fiscal year. In July, LSM grew 2.62pc on a year-on-year basis. Its growth was 3.21pc in 2015-16.
Pakistan moves up in ease of doing business rankings:
akistan has made some important progress towards the ease of doing business for small and medium-sized enterprises, finds the latest edition of the World Bank Group’s Doing Business report. As a result, the country has emerged as one of the global top 10 improvers this year, says the report titled ‘Doing Business 2017: Equal Opportunity for All’. Pakistan’s position in the doing business global rankings improved to 144 out of 190 economies this year under the latest methodology as a result of the reforms programme announced by the government. The country was ranked 148th last year.
Coal-based projects: Work on 7,000MW power plants likely to be abandoned:
Several coal-based power plants with a cumulative production capacity of around 7,000 megawatts are encountering trouble and may be shelved because of unavailability of coal and funds. These projects include the 6,600MW Gadani Power Park, 330MW Salt Range power plant and 150MW Lakhra power project, according to officials aware of the development.
Directives: SNGPL, SSGC to print meter-reading on utility bills:
The Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) and Sui Southern Gas Company Limited (SSGCL) will print photographs of the meter-reading on utility bills to facilitate consumers and end complaints of excessive billing. “Following directives of the National Assembly Standing Committee on Petroleum and Natural Resources, gas companies will place photographs of meter-reading on utility bills,” officials in the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources said.
KAPCO privatisation runs into trouble:
The privatisation process of Kot Addu Power Company (Kapco), Pakistan’s largest independent power producer, has run into snags due to government’s inability to provide investors with a satisfactory response over the fate of a power purchase agreement and shift in state’s coal consumption policy. The indecisiveness on the part of the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Water and Power has started hurting the share price of Kapco that has gone down by over 16% in the last three and a half months, according to market analysts.
GSP plus review mission to arrive on October 30:
The European Union's (EU) second Generalized System of Preferences(GSP) plus review Mission will visit Pakistan from October 30 to November 4, 2016 and assess the status of implementation of 27 Conventions covered under the trade incentives scheme and the way forward, official sources told Business Recorder. The-four member delegation will comprise: (i) Guus Houttuin- Advisor, trade issue and business co-ordinator, European External Action Service (EEAS), Team Leader; (ii) Dietmar Krissler - Deputy of Division Asia Pacific 2, EEAS; (iii) Andreas Julin, DG Trade Unit D,1 Trade Sustainable Development and GSP, European Commission (EC); and (iv) Rudi Delarue, DG Employment, Deputy Head of Division Unit D3, EC. The visit will take place before the meeting of the EU-Pakistan Joint Commission which is scheduled to be held on November 23, 2016 at Islamabad.

Pakistan inks $250m loan agreement with ADB
Pakistan and Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday signed a loan agreement of $250 million for Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC)’s Regional Improvement of Border Services project.Economic Affairs Division Secretary Tariq Bajwa and ADB Country Director Werner E Liepach has signed the loan agreement here in Islamabad.Finance Minister Ishaq Dar and ADB President Takehiko Nakao witnessed the signing ceremony.Later, addressing a press conference, Nakao said Pakistan has made encouraging progress by controlling the fiscal deficit and inflation rate and increase GDP’s growth and revenue collection, adding that country’s foreign exchange reserves have built up.He emphasized for continuation of reforms programme for fetching foreign investment in the country.He said that ADB has not allocated any funds for the Diamir Bhasha dam yet.He further said that there is need to make investment in power production and its transmission system.
SBP auctions Rs90.223b MTBs
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Wednesday sold the government’s market treasury bills (MTBs) for Rs90.223 billion.The face value of these MTBs is Rs92.382 billion, said SBP statement.The bids for the MTBs, having maturity period of 3,6 and 12 months, were invited through SBP’s primary dealers.


SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 26 OCTOBER 2016 | LANDING

Stocks fell for the fourth day in a row, which market participants attributed to a `correction` following political noises. KSE-100 index plunged 237.95 points or 0.58 % and wrapped up the session at 40,526.81 levels; as investors squaring their positions in October future contracts, this being the future rollover week. The Favorable judgment from Supreme Court on GIDC Issue and result session can’t grasp the early hours bulls to hold throughout the day. Dull activity witnessed in the market as turnover settled at 347 million shares as compared to 367 million shares in the last trading session. Shares of 409 companies were traded, at the end of the day 156 stocks closed higher, 236 declined, while 17 remained unchanged. The value of shares traded during the day was at recorded the level of PKR 10.29 billion increased by 30%.

Volatility prevailed in capital market; major activity witnessed in Power Generation & Distribution, Commercial Banks and Engineering sector. In Power Generation sector, KEL remain the shining star throughout the session and appreciated their value by 0.11%, while HUBC, JPGL drop their value by 2.68%, 3.15%. In Banking Sector, BOP HBL, NIB depreciated by 2.15%, 1.67%, 2.00%.Moreover in Engineering sector DSLR, PECO, MUGHAL drop their value and depreciated by 2.27%, 5.00%, 3.55%.

Active list was topped by KEL with 59 million shares as it closed at PKR 9.20 with a positive change of PKR 0.05. BOP was the second highest on the volume chart with 40 million shares closed at PKR 17.26 with a negative change of PKR 0.55. It was followed by DSLR with 27 million shares closed at PKR 3.45 with a negative change of PKR 0.15, EFERT with 14 million shares closed at PKR 63.75 with a positive change of PKR 0.34.

Today major trading activities were recorded in Power Generation & Distribution Sector as it was traded above 69 million shares followed by Commercial Banks sector which recorded the volume of 53 million shares whereas Engineering sparked at 3rd place by trading above 34 million shares.

Highest increase was recorded in the shares of Wyeth Pak Ltd, which rose by PKR 134.97 to PKR 2834.55 per share; followed by Bata (Pak), that improved by PKR 120.53 to PKR 4300.00 per share. Major decline was witnessed in the shares of Philip Morris Pak, which fell by PKR 67.59 to PKR 1924.00 per share; followed by Hinopak Pak, dropped by PKR 48.74 to PKR 1365.70 per share.

·        The Hub Power Company  Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 2.65 billion translating into EPS of PKR  2.13.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 1.50/-
·        Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited announced its 9MCY16 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 7.30 billion translating into EPS of PKR 5.74.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 1.75.
·        MCB Bank Limited announced its 9MCY16 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 17.89 billion translating into EPS of PKR 16.01.Along with Cash Dividend of PKR 4.00.
·        Pioneer Cement  Limited announced its 1QFY17 result for the period ended Sep 30 2016.PAT clocked in @ PKR 702 million translating into EPS of PKR 3.09.


Factors for Today:

·        Oil Prices Plunge After API Reports Significant Build To U.S. Crude Stocks
·        ADB offers to increase assistance to help Pakistan become trading hub
·        Govt set to abandon gas supply plan
·        Ogra may recommend hike in POL products' prices
·        Ministry to discuss issues related with planned KE resale

Factors to watch:

·        International Oil prices.
·        PKR vs US$ movement.
·        Results Seasons.






Tuesday 25 October 2016

SUNRISE CAPITAL (PVT) LTD | 26 OCTOBER 2016 | TAKE OFF

Oil Prices Plunge After API Reports Significant Build To U.S. Crude Stocks
American crude oil supplies surged upwards by 4.8 million barrels this week, almost completely offsetting last week’s 5.2-million-barrel draw, according to the American Petroleum Institute (API) report released on Tuesday.This week’s inventory build will likely press further down on oil prices, which were already trading down on the market’s increasing uneasiness over the OPEC drama, including Iraq’s OPEC rebellion, Russia’s vague and vacillating comments as to whether they’ll join in a freeze or a cut, and Venezuela’s pleas to get non-OPEC members to cut in proportion to the bloc’s to-be-determined limits.The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price settled to three-week lows once the report went public Tuesday afternoon. At the time of the report’s writing, WTI stood at $49.30 – down 2.41 percent from the day’s start, while Brent fell to $50.29, or 2.27 percent from the open.Experts had predicted an inventory build of two million barrels of crude, according to Zero Hedge.

ADB offers to increase assistance to help Pakistan become trading hub
Asian Develo­pment Bank (ADB) President Tak­e­hiko Nakao on Tuesday offered to increase its development assistance to Pakistan and called for improved governance and security, reviving agriculture and increasing exports.“Given the strong economic credentials of Pakistan and growth trajectory, the ADB is actively considering to increase its assistance in infrastructure, roads and railways, port facilities and energy sector in Pakistan,” the Ministry of Finance quoted Mr Nakao as saying.The ADB president arrived on Tuesday on a two-day visit and met Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Finance Minister Ishaq Dar. He will also attend Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) ministerial meeting on Wednesday.
Govt set to abandon gas supply plan
With gas shortages expected to hit consumers hard in the upcoming winter season, the government is set to shelve a plan of dedicated gas supply from new discoveries to a group of four fertiliser plants approved during the tenure of previous Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) government, officials say.The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC), in its meeting held on December 18, 2012, had allocated 202 million cubic feet of gas per day (mmcfd) from the newly discovered sources to four fertiliser plants – Engro Fertilizers, Dawood Hercules, Pakarab Fertilizers and Agritech Limited.

Ogra may recommend hike in POL products' prices
Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) is likely to recommend a rise in the prices of petroleum products by Rs 3 to Rs 5 per litre effective November 1, 2016 however the prevailing political situation may deter the government from approving the raise. Reliable sources in the Ministry of Petroleum and Ogra told Business Recorder Tuesday that as per current international crude oil prices, Ogra is likely to recommend a rise in High Speed Diesel (HSD) by Rs 5 per litre, motor sprit (Petrol) by Rs 3 per litre, Light Diesel Oil (LDO) by Rs 4.5 per litre and kerosene oil by Rs 4 per litre from November 1.The government's refusal to raise prices would cost an estimated Rs 5 billion in revenue as it would be compelled to lower taxes on petroleum products.

Ministry to discuss issues related with planned KE resale
The management of Karachi Electric (KE) is reportedly engaging several influentials to get the same incentives for new buyers, ie, Shanghai Electric of China, as those available to Abraaj Group which currently owns 66 per cent stakes in the company, well-informed sources told Business Recorder. Chinese government-owned Shanghai Electric Power Co has qualified as the final bidder for the controlling stake worth an estimated $1.6 billion. The company intends to acquire up to 18.335 billion ordinary shares, 66 percent of the total number of issued shares of K-Electric from KES Power.Ministry of Water and Power, sources said, is planning to convene a high-level meeting this week to discuss issues associated with the resale of KE. The sources said, KE management has submitted documents of the new deal with the Security and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) but was showing a reluctance to share it with the Ministry of Water and Power.

Opec output cut may hasten oil market rebalance: IEA
The oversupplied oil market will be rebalanced earlier than expected if major crude producers implement a deal to cap output when they meet next month, the International Energy Agency chief said Tuesday. Under current conditions, the IEA expects global output to exceed demand until the second half of 2017, Fatih Birol told journalists on the sidelines of an energy conference in Singapore."But we know that the producers are thinking of intervening in the markets. The Opec and non-Opec producers, if they intervene in the markets, this rebalance can be earlier than the second half of 2017," he said. In a surprise move, Opec (Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) members led by oil kingpin Saudi Arabia last month agreed on a deal to trim production, sending crude prices surging.